"The Hit Rate Lie" is a video essay about the practice of displaying false hit rates to the player throughout the Fire Emblem series.

​

The video outlines the various hit rate calculation methods Fire Emblem has utilized over its history, and analyses each methods effectiveness at achieving design goals. This includes taking into account recency bias and player perception.

​

I wrote, edited and narrated the video, and as of November 2019 it has accumulated over 100,000 views.